2017 LED industry development situation forecast

2016-2021 China LED display industry market demand and investment consulting report predicts that in the next few years, the global LED display market demand will continue to grow rapidly, the average annual growth rate will exceed 20%, and it is expected that by 2020, global LED The market size of the display will reach 30 billion US dollars, and China will be the most important manufacturing base. LED After the LED industry ended the development of 2016's ups and downs, with the official opening of the new year, people are paying more attention to the latest developments in 2017. For a time, research institutions and industry insiders Various speculations and projections have been made. It is said that the prospect of entering the current 2017, the competitive pressure of the LED market has not been lifted, the rise of China's first-line LED manufacturers, will compress the survival space of other competitors, and even the second-line LED manufacturers will face the pressure to accelerate the elimination. To this end, it is more beneficial to understand the various development trends of the industry. In this article, a series of predictions made by industry experts on LED development in the coming year will be compiled by Xiaobian. In 2017, LED chips will be in short supply. According to reports, Sanan Optoelectronics recently issued a price increase notice, raising the price of S-30MB/S-32BB series products by 8%, which started the first shot of 2017 LED chip price increase. As the leader of the chip, Sanan Optoelectronics is the only company in China that is engaged in the production of full-color LED chips. The company is actively expanding its production capacity and is expected to have 400 MOCVD equipment by the end of 2017. Overseas LED giants such as Philips, Seoul Semiconductor, LG, Samsung, and CREE have basically stopped production, and new demand has been outsourced to Sanan. Their overseas customer orders are expected to further increase. According to the calculation of relevant institutions, by the end of 2017, the effective production capacity of LED chips is about 83.28 million pieces, and the demand is about 92.35 million pieces. Among them, the demand for lighting chips is 47.04 million, up 20% year-on-year; the demand for outdoor full-color displays is 26.02 million, up 5% year-on-year; the demand for small indoor space is 1.02 million, up 50% year-on-year; the demand for mobile phone backlights is 1.39 million. There are 440,000 tablets for backlighting, 6.99 million for computer and TV backlights, and 1.06 million for automotive lamps. In view of the fact that LED chip production capacity is still below demand, and demand is growing steadily in 2017, LED chips will be in short supply. In 2017, the LED lighting market will reach US$33.1 billion. According to the TrendForce2017 global lighting market outlook report, the LED lighting market will reach US$29.6 billion in 2016, and the LED lighting market will reach US$33.1 billion in 2017. LED lighting penetration rate Up to 52%. According to analysis, benefiting from the development of the regional lighting market, the proportion of LED lighting in Europe in 2016 was 23%, followed by North America and China. Looking ahead, the Asia Pacific lighting market is growing the fastest. 2017 LED industry development situation forecast LED display industry market prospects broad 2016-2021 China LED display industry market demand and investment consulting report predicts that in the next few years, the global LED display market demand will continue to maintain rapid growth, the average annual The growth rate will exceed 20%. It is estimated that by 2020, the global LED display market will reach 30 billion US dollars, and China will be the most important manufacturing base. The LED display industry has broad market prospects. In 2017, the global high-brightness LED production value reached 13.18 billion US dollars According to research firm DIGITIMES Research, the global high-brightness LED output value will increase by 2.8% in 2017 to reach 13.18 billion US dollars. After the peak growth of the LED industry in 2014, it has gradually slowed down in the next few years. In terms of the number of uses, it will reach 303.75 billion in 2017, with an annual growth rate of 23.9%. Among them, the highest annual increase in usage will still be lighting applications, reaching 39.2%. In terms of the proportion of LED usage, the proportion of lighting applications will reach 66% in 2017, and the LED light source for mobile devices (mainly mobile phones) and LED backlights for medium and large sizes will add up to 20.8%, display panels and vehicles. The LEDs were 5.6% and 4.7%, respectively. In terms of the annual growth rate of LED usage, in 2017, the positive growth is from high to low for lighting, automotive, display kanban, TV backlight, Mobiledevice applications; relatively, negative growth includes Tablet, NB , Monitor, the annual reduction rate is between 5.2 and 11.9%. Among them, the application growth rate of double-digit growth in 2017 will be lighting and automobiles. Among them, the annual growth rate of lighting will reach 39.2%. It is estimated that the global LED lighting market will reach 40.42 billion US dollars in 2017, and the penetration rate will be 36.7. %. In terms of automotive applications, the main reason for the use of LED light sources for exterior lights is increased. It is estimated that the annual growth rate of this application will reach 15.3%. In 2017, global OLED display device sales will reach 18.7 billion US dollars. According to the report, 2016 is called the first year of OLED display technology marketization. The world shows that big players are actively participating in the form of huge investment, capacity transformation and cross-border mergers and acquisitions. In the next generation display technology market quickly established. Data show that in 2015, the global OLED display panel market value of 11.2 billion US dollars, an increase of about 49%, 2016 sales will reach about 15.2 billion US dollars, an increase of about 36%, expected global sales of OLED display devices in 2017 will reach About 18.7 billion US dollars, an increase of about 23%. From the data alone, the year-on-year growth rate is declining, but this is because the global OLED display panel production capacity is almost entirely controlled by Samsung Display SDC, and other new capacity will be concentrated in 2018 and 2019. By then, the OLED market will be Usher in a real outbreak. At present, the main application field of OLED technology is the display panel component of smart phones, which accounts for more than 90% of applications. The OLED panel's colorful, slim, and flexible features perfectly match the development needs of smartphone products. According to market research firm TrendForce 2017 infrared laser and sensing component application market report, many infrared products are continuously developed, except for major products including security monitoring, emerging growth products such as face and Iris identification, heartbeat oxygen sensing, virtual reality, e-sports laptops, infrared panels, vehicle sensing, etc., bring unlimited business opportunities to the infrared industry. In 2017, the UV LED market will mature and will take off. According to industry insiders, the current UV LED power on the market is not high enough. Low-power UVLEDs are used to analyze chemical elements, DOM monitors, etc., while products from 10mW to 30mW are small-flow sterilization and purification, such as water treatment or air purification. Products from 30mW to 50mW are suitable for medium-flow sterilization and purification, as well as resin curing applications. The specifications from 50 mW to 100 mW are suitable for large-flow sterilization and purification, high-speed resin hardening and medical robot applications. However, these application fields are still in the world of high-voltage UV lamps, and UV LEDs are difficult to cut due to insufficient power. Japan’s Daisuke Asahi Kasei’s Kyuichi Naoki believes that due to the ban on mercury bills signed by 92 countries in Japan in October 2013, by 2020, new products using mercury in batteries and tubes and bulbs are, in principle, prohibited from being exported. This actually gives UVCLED a business opportunity that may be more useful. The advantage of UVC LEDs compared to mercury UV lamps is that they do not use heavy metal mercury, and do not require mercury lamps for 1 to 15 minutes of warm-up time. The reaction time of UV LEDs is extremely fast. Moreover, UV LEDs can specify the necessary wavelengths to emit light, resulting in future applications of full power, long life, and low price. Because UVLED has impact resistance, and the size is not linear like UV tube, it saves space in the device mechanism, and has higher freedom in product design and updated matching application. In terms of voltage, high-voltage alternating current is not required. As long as the direct current of 6 to 12 volts is used, the current can be reduced from 0.5 to 2 amps to as little as 0.02 to 0.3A. There is also an advantage in thermal design. There is no large amount of high-heat radiation from mercury lamps. The basis for heat dissipation can be achieved in the material. As long as the appropriate design is used, the heat improvement and the life of the UV LED can be extended. After the technical capabilities of many UV LED manufacturers have been improved, and the issue of prohibiting the export of new mercury lamps in the future, the application of UV LEDs is expected to be more extensive, not only for specific materials, resin hardening, water and air. The sterilization and purification treatments include more dermatological and medical treatments, VOC gas decomposition, photocatalyst deodorization devices, and more and more applications such as water treatment and sterilization. Small-pitch market leads the high-precision market of LED display. The development of small-pitch LED display is the high-precision of LED display field in China. Because of the small-pitch LED display, the comprehensive strength requirements of technology, R&D and marketing are considered. High, its market share is mainly occupied by some enterprises with comprehensive strength. The small-pitch LED display pixels are much higher than the general LED display, and its display color is more realistic and clear. The main application market has TV studios and energy. , traffic dispatch center, public security monitoring center, conference room, military command center, etc., its market performance is gratifying. At present, with the enhancement of surface-mounting technology, the small-pitch LED display has been able to adapt to outdoor harsh environments, and its outdoor market development is more obvious, and because of the excellent display effect, small-pitch LED display and AR/VR, naked-eye 3D, Internet technology The combination trend is obvious. With the maturity of large-scale production and the lowering of product prices, it is just around the corner to enter the commercial and civilian market. It is worth mentioning that the small-pitch LED display is equipped with relevant control cards, and its display effect can reach 4K. The company already has related small-pitch LED display TVs, showing a gratifying market development trend. In 2017, the global LED factory accelerated to transfer to niche-type applications. According to the latest research, the global LED market value reached US$14.8 billion in 2016, with an annual growth rate of 3.4%. Looking forward to 2017, the LED market competition is still fierce, manufacturers will accelerate to niche markets such as small-pitch display screens, infrared and ultraviolet LEDs for profit. It is estimated that the global LED market output value will reach 15.4 billion US dollars in 2017, with an annual growth rate of 4 %. It is said that the growth rate of the global LED market in 2016 is not high, but the overall industry has undergone dramatic changes. With the rise of demand for small-pitch LED displays, the upstream LED chip supply is tight, making some LED chips and packaged devices appear for the first time in the past five years. In addition, downstream LED lighting products have also seen a large price increase, the main reason is to reflect the rising cost of raw materials, especially copper, aluminum and other bulk metal raw materials in the second half of this year, the price rise, making LED lighting manufacturers have to Announce the price increase to reflect the cost. However, this wave of LED price hikes has limited help to the actual profitability of the manufacturers, so most LED manufacturers are actively thinking about the transformation strategy and accelerating the transfer to the niche market. China's LED packaging capacity and chip capacity continue to grow in 2017 According to DIGITIMES research, in view of the significant growth in demand for LED lighting, large-size LED display and LED automotive lighting, the capacity of China's LED packaging companies will continue to grow in 2017. As the largest LED packaging company in China, Mulinsen will increase its monthly production capacity from 50 billion LED chips in the third quarter of 2016 to 60-70 billion at the end of the year. The monthly packaging capacity will be further expanded to 15 billion LED chips. Foshan Guoxing Optoelectronics has expanded its LED packaging capacity by 40% in 2016 and will continue to expand in 2017. In addition, in addition to LED packaging companies, China's LED epitaxial wafer and chip manufacturers Sanan Optoelectronics, Huacan Optoelectronics and other industrial chain upstream enterprises are also expanding production capacity. It is expected that by 2017, China's LED epitaxial wafer and chip manufacturers will have more than 230 MOCVD equipment, and its LED chip production capacity accounts for more than 50% of the global total.

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