March Car Dealership Inventory Warning Index

According to the "Vehicle Inventory Alert Index" published by the China Automobile Dealers Association, the Inventory Inventory Early Warning Index for China's Automobile Dealers VIA (Vehicle Inventory Alert Index) shows that the inventory warning index for March 2015 was 67.5%, up 16.6 percentage points from the previous month. Above the alert level. With the upcoming auto show in April, total market demand in April is expected to increase, and dealers are in better operation than in March.

From the five subindexes that constitute the early warning index, the total market demand, sales index, employee index, and business condition index all declined, and the inventory index increased significantly. The survey showed that total market demand fell in March and average daily sales decreased. The main reason is that the impact of the Spring Festival holiday in February lasted until March, resulting in inactive markets during the first two weeks of March and a low turnover rate. In addition, in March, the annual targets and business policies of various manufacturers were clear, dealers increased car sales, and inventory increased.

The specific sub-index changes are as follows:

In March, the total market demand index was 30.1%, a decrease of 7.7 percentage points from the previous quarter. According to the survey, dealers believe that the proportion of total demand “growth” has increased from 9.1% in the previous month to 23.5%; the proportion of total demand “basically flat” has been reduced from 31.8% to 13.3%; the total demand has been “decreased”. The proportion increased from 59.1% to 63.2%.

In March, the inventory index was 68.2%, an increase of 30.9 percentage points from the previous quarter. According to the survey, dealers believe that the proportion of “increase” in inventories has increased from 27.3% to 53.1%; the proportion of “basically flat” has dropped from 35.4% to 30.2%; the proportion of “declines” has been reduced from 37.3% to 16.7%.

In March, the sales index was 29.1%, a decrease of 10.6 percentage points from the previous quarter. According to the survey, dealers believe that the average daily sales volume “increases” from 14.5% to 16.3%; “basically flat” rates rose from 25.5% to 25.6%; and that the daily sales “decrease” from the previous month’s 60.0% fell to 58.1%.

In March, the employee index was 40.0%, a decrease of 7.6 percentage points from the previous quarter. According to the survey, dealers believe that the proportion of “decrease” in employees fell from 26.4% in the previous month to 24.2%; the proportion of “increases” was increased from 0.1% in the previous month to 4.2%; The 73.5% of the month fell to 71.6%.

In March, the operating condition index was 30.5%, a decrease of 23.5 percentage points from the previous quarter. According to the survey, the proportion of companies with “normal” operating conditions dropped from 65.5% to 44.2%; the proportion of “good” operations dropped from 11.8% last month to 8.4%; the proportion of “bad” operations was 22.7% from the previous month. Increased to 47.4%.